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LT forecast NI Westminster election to 1% accuracy

LucidTalk carried out their main Northern Ireland (NI) pre-election poll 27th November-30th November 2019, and based on this, forecast the vote shares that would be obtained by each of the political parties contesting the NI Westminster election on 12th December. This turned out to be a tremendous polling performance as those Political Party vote-share forecasts turned out to be accurate within an error of less than 1%. – see below for details.

These forecasts were covered widely in the local NI media including in the Irish News, the Sunday Times, and on U105 radio. However, as well as the vote-share forecasts, the poll also covered what issues NI people were thinking about in terms of the election, and what they thought the outlook was for NI in 2020. See earlier LT news item for further details and full poll-project reports.

NI vote preference for GE 2019 – 'before and after' i.e. comparing LTs pre-election poll to the actual results: CLICK HERE

UK-Wide Poll Results (inc. LucidTalk) compared to actual results – as published by the British Polling Council: CLICK HERE

LucidTalk Press Release re. NI GE 2019: CLICK HERE

Media Coverage

Review of LT Poll-Results in the IRISH NEWS: CLICK HERE

LucidTalk is a member of The British Polling Council and abides by its rules:

For further information, please contact:

Bill White at LucidTalk: 07711 450545 - Email:

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