In early January 2020, and before the outcome of the present talks, LucidTalk (LT) carried out two individual NI-Wide polls of
DUP VOTERS ONLY – i.e. those who had voted for the DUP at least once in the past 5 NI elections, not inc. the recent Westminster election (& exc. Local government elections). – responses: 1,007 polled.
Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY – i.e. those who had voted for Sinn Féin in at least once in the past 5 NI elections, not inc. the recent Westminster election (& exc. Local government elections). – responses: 1,023 polled.
LT have all the above data already stored on their systems, so LT are able to target specific voter bases in sufficient volume to be able to produce NI representative polls for specific voter bases, and other demographics (e.g. 18-30 year-olds only in NI etc..).
The results are enclosed below: There were three DUP poll Qs – put to the DUP voter base, and four Sinn Féin poll Qs - put to the put to the Sinn Féin voter base. The ‘extra’ Sinn Féin poll Q covered their current abstentionist policy regarding Westminster.
The first three poll Qs for each of the DUP voter base, and the Sinn Féin voter base, covered the Irish Language Act - ILA (1st two poll Qs), and Poll Q3 covered what outcome would respondents (i.e. both DUP and Sinn Féin voters) like to see from the current talks process.
The last poll result below, are the leader ratings for Arlene Foster, Michelle O’Neill, and Mary Lou McDonald - DUP and Sinn Féin voter respondents were asked to rate each of 'their' leaders either Excellent, Fair, Neutral, Not good, or Very Bad. The ratings shown were calculated by totalling the 'Excellent' and 'Fair' scores, and subtracting the total of the 'Not good' and 'Very Bad' scores - for each respective leader. Neutral scores are ignored for the purposes of calculating leader ratings. This is the standard way Leader ratings are calculated e.g. Trump, Corbyn, B. Johnson etc.
All the detail of the poll Qs, the technical polling information, and all other details, are as what is shown on each of the enclosed results graphics.
Poll Results:
Are for or against an ILA – DUP VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
If there was an ILA, would you be for or against it - DUP VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
Outcome of the talks – your preferred result - DUP VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
ILA, SF voters views – Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
If there wasn’t an ILA, SF voters views - Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
Outcome of the talks – your preferred result - Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
Views re. Sinn Féin abstentionist policy at Westminster - Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY: CLICK HERE
DUP and Sinn Féin VOTERS ONLY – views re. their party leaders: CLICK HERE
Media Coverage
Poll-Results review and analyses in the IRISH NEWS: CLICK HERE and CLICK HERE
Poll-Results broadcast interview and analysis on U105 Radio: CLICK HERE (Review list for podcast – No. 4673)
LucidTalk - Professional Credentials: LucidTalk (LT) is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC), and ESOMAR (European Society of Market Research organisations). The BPC are the primary UK professional body ensuring professional Polling and Market Research standards. All LT polling, research, sampling, methodologies used, market research projects and results and reports production are, and have been, carried out to the professional standards laid down by the BPC and AIMRO (Association of Irish Market Research Organisations).
For further information, please contact: Bill White at LucidTalk: 07711 450545 - Email: bill.white@lucidtalk.co.uk